For millennia thought experiments have contemplated hypothetical situations - from Plato’s cave to Schrodinger’s cat. Thought experiments are situations that can’t be recreated in the real world –because they’re too costly or too cruel. Plato couldn’t chain unwitting subjects in a cave. And imagine the uproar if Schrodinger had killed all those cats. This blog explores a series of climate change thought experiments and asks what if? What if we could change whatever we want to see what happens?

Tuesday 6 November 2012

What if... everyone bought locally?


I'm continuing the food theme for this latest post. Maybe it's my love of eating; or maybe it's because the more I read into it, the more fascinating the carbon economics of food seem to be. This time round it's the local food movement. We should all buy locally, right? Well, what would happen if we did?

You're probably familiar with the concept of food miles - the distance our food travels before it reaches our supermarket shelves. Transporting goods causes greenhouse gas emissions. Reduce your food miles, the theory goes, and reduce emissions from your food. And when 14% of global emissions come from agriculture, there's big savings to be made!

If you've read any of my previous posts, you'll know that things in the world of emissions are never as simple as they first appear. Take the case of Young's, who got in trouble a few years back when it was revealed their locally sourced Scottish prawns where flown to Thailand for shelling before returning to the UK to be sold in our supermarkets. Customers thinking they were buying local produce were unsuspectingly buying a product with 12,000 embedded food miles!

Luckily studies have shown that it's not food miles that count - the methods used to grow your food are much more important. It's helpful here to have a look at a few case studies. Consider the tomato. A 2008 DEFRA study found that tomatoes grown in the UK were responsible for three to four times more emissions than those imported from Spain, even when the additional food miles were taken into account. This is because UK tomatoes tend to be grown in gas heated greenhouses. A similar study by New Zealand researchers found British lamb was four times more energy intensive than New Zealand lamb, even allowing for transport to the UK - due mainly to the use of larger quantities of fertilisers by UK farmers.

He may look tasty. But if he's from the UK, his carbon emissions may be bigger than you think

All the evidence seems to say that, if you're looking to reduce emissions from food, you need to look at the entire lifecycle of the foods you eat. If you do that, as these American researchers did, you'll find that food miles account for only about 11% of emissions from our food. Even more scarily, a study by the University of California looked at what would happen if everyone in their local area of Santa Barbara County bought locally. Amazingly they found it would reduce emissions from food by less than 1%!

So there you have it. If we all ate locally, the impact on food emissions might be as low as one percent!

Tesco now put carbon footprints on products to help consumers make informed choices

So what should you buy? Well in his excellent book How bad are bananas? author Mike Berners-Lee says you can't go wrong with a banana. Good advice if you ask me. Imagine the detrimental impacts to countries like Ecuador - where 61% of the agriculturalGDP comes from banana exports - if we all stopped eating bananas. When you start looking at situations like this, you can see the issue of buying locally extends far beyond just carbon emissions.

If you want more about food miles, the ever brilliant Freakonomics team have produced this excellent podcast. In it they speak to the authors of the Santa Barbara county study.

5 comments:

  1. Quite interesting topic Stuart !!! According to the ICPP, developing countries from East Asia and Latin America and the Carribean are the ones that produce the highest levels of GHS´s in Agriculture.
    http://www.ipcc.ch/pdf/assessment-report/ar4/wg3/ar4-wg3-chapter8.pdf

    Therefore, to the UK, it would be more convenient not to import products from those countries in order to reduce its carbon footprint but still, social and economical issues would worsen for these countries. But ... what if countries that import products from different parts, start incorporating "carbon footprint conditions" within the international agreements (bilateral or multilateral)? just to enhance sustainable behavior to the others !! I am a believer that international and local policies must include drastically the topic of Climate Change to start doing something and I will quote a phrase I heard before, that explain part of this situation "At the moment its socially accepted to put that CO2 into the atmosphere"

    ReplyDelete
  2. Hi Hans. Many thanks for your comment. I hadn't realised that developing countries had higher agricultural emissions. I'm no expert but I'd guess this is down to the higher efficiency of industrialised farms (see previous post). And whilst we're on this matter - apparently you emit less greenhouse gases driving a mile than if you cycled on energy you got from eating Peruvian asparagus. http://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/2010/jun/08/carbon-footprint-cycling

    As for imposing import laws - an interesting idea. Of course the emissions from growing the food are counted towards the exporters country so it would have no effect on the UK's emissions. But it would decrease emissions globally.

    I like you think that the best way to reduce emissions is through policy. People have much better things to worry about than buying the milk with the lowest carbon footprint during their daily shop. (I like to think I'm pretty concerned about climate change and even I can't be bothered to check all the data). So these decisions should be made for me. That's why I elect a government.

    ReplyDelete
  3. Hi Stuart !
    I was talking about the carbon footprint, no the carbon emissions in ur second paragraph. And I do believe that what Tesco is doing is incredible and of course its up to us to make the correct decisions but sometimes "mandatory things" can have a higher impact on producers and consumers.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Hans - apologies if I misunderstood the first comment. I couldn't agree more on the mandatory cuts angle though. So I think we're on the same page!

      Delete
  4. Stuart I feel all your blogs are truly very enlightening. And I do agree with Hans that mandates may be a better solutions as just being aware isn't working too well.

    ReplyDelete